The market is in a constant state of flux flipping between a rate cut coin toss to currently sit at 70% chance of a rate cut some 12 days out. So what happened to the 6 or 7 rate cuts in the pipe ...
China set the ball rolling with their $140 billion of stimulus with much more to come during 2025, then we had the first of a series of Fed rate cuts adding fuel to the fire and next is the ...
Owen Williams writes: In one of the strongest bull markets in history, the S&P 500 hit 57 record closing highs in 2024 after a stunning initial move higher off the Q4 2023 lows. Many pundits have ...
In a number of past articles, I have tried to prepare those reading my analysis for the strong probability that we can see a long-term bear market. I have outlined the many reasons supporting my ...
The NY Fed has recently published a study on bank failures in the U.S., examining the reasons why banks fail. For this study, the regulator constructed a large database with balance sheet ...
The last systemic or significant change in our Federal Reserve’s monetary policy occurred in 1971, when gold backing to our dollar was completely removed, and the United States transitioned to a ...
Sebastian Mallaby’s The Power Law: Venture Capital and the Making of the New Future provides compelling case studies about investments in sectors like these. Featuring key investors like the ...
Did you enjoy Monday's black swan panic event that caught everyone by surprise? MSM needed a reason to explain why to it's audience and so plucked deepseek as a likely reason for the sell off in ...
The gold miners’ stock prices have largely decoupled from their metal, which overwhelmingly drives their profits. This fundamental disconnect has spawned a shocking valuation anomaly, with gold ...
I want to expand a bit on market liquidity and why modeling it is so crucial to the economy, inflation, and money management. Liquidity is the progenitor of Pento Portfolio Strategies’ Inflation ...
September is seasonally the weakest month of the year, and has been so for 3 years in a row until September 2024 resulting in the unexpected up closing month, though there are too factors that ...
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