Researchers from the European Central Bank, European Stability Mechanism, and Universität Bonn propose a new forecasting method called parametric tilting that helps economists incorporate new ...

The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

These events remain relevant largely because they occurred during an extended period of geopolitical stability that ran from the late 1990s through to the early 2020s. When shocks did occur, they ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Quantitative Finance Program Director, at Stevens Inst. of Technology This is not a new diagnosis. There is today a hapless ...

Grey forecasting models represent a class of mathematical techniques designed to generate predictions from limited and often uncertain data. Rooted in grey system theory, these models emphasise the ...

CEO of Paul M. Wendee & Associates, LLC; Publisher of the Intrinsic Value Wealth Report Newsletter; Founder of the Value Driver Institute. To make sound business and investment decisions, business ...

Business news can do more than report on financial markets; it can predict where they're headed. Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest sci-tech news updates. That's the finding from a new study ...

Will the world still need economists in 2030? With skin in the game, we certainly hope so — but artificial intelligence is already transforming economic analysis. In our own work — and in a review of ...

ATLANTA — The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow model published a final projection for GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 on Tuesday at -2.7%. The forecast comes ahead of Wednesday's ...

In the evolving ecosystem of prediction markets, Kalshi Inc. has quickly emerged as a significant force, recently highlighting research that positions its platform as a potentially superior tool for ...

Few industries are so sensitive to the whims of the economy as construction. Supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, inflation and regulation have left many businesses feeling as though they just ...