The "replication crisis" refers to a problem in the sciences where findings from previous experiments don't hold up when studies are repeated. It is a particular issue for those in the behavioral ...

This paper puts forward a Bayesian unsmoothing method to model smoothing parameters probabilistically which mitigates ...

Nate Silver, baseball statistician turned political analyst, gained a lot of attention during the 2012 United States elections when he successfully predicted the outcome of the presidential vote in ...

What would Thomas Bayes think? In 1763, he proposed a new approach to calculate probabilities. An international team has now updated his ideas to deliver a quantum Bayes' rule. (Courtesy: Centre for ...

Lotteries are hard to win. The odds of hitting the Powerball jackpot are so tiny that, as a CNN commenter once put it, you have a better chance of becoming an astronaut, dating a supermodel, and ...